Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.126155 0.135055 0.144348 0.154790 0.166217 0.178362 0.192275
2025-09-28 0.106536 0.119412 0.133671 0.150713 0.170631 0.193300 0.221233
2025-10-05 0.097096 0.112823 0.131074 0.154009 0.182326 0.216501 0.261412
2025-10-12 0.089751 0.107329 0.128508 0.156241 0.192097 0.237600 0.300881
2025-10-19 0.082779 0.101310 0.124331 0.155517 0.197427 0.252952 0.334096
2025-10-26 0.077280 0.096483 0.120979 0.155168 0.202726 0.268237 0.368472
2025-11-02 0.072136 0.091604 0.117007 0.153392 0.205562 0.279972 0.398671
2025-11-09 0.066765 0.085981 0.111534 0.148939 0.203969 0.284844 0.418647
2025-11-16 0.062604 0.081683 0.107507 0.146091 0.204264 0.292265 0.443150
2025-11-23 0.059038 0.077958 0.103984 0.143617 0.204761 0.299816 0.468485
2025-11-30 0.057004 0.076228 0.103128 0.144932 0.211038 0.316913 0.512041
2025-12-07 0.053641 0.072407 0.099007 0.140979 0.208608 0.319429 0.529792
2025-12-14 0.050042 0.068129 0.094068 0.135577 0.203634 0.317562 0.539943
2025-12-21 0.047338 0.065042 0.090754 0.132530 0.202336 0.321973 0.562871
2025-12-28 0.046380 0.064479 0.091192 0.135456 0.211271 0.345296 0.626630
2026-01-04 0.045247 0.063581 0.091047 0.137392 0.218627 0.366496 0.689549
2026-01-11 0.043606 0.061823 0.089453 0.136791 0.221401 0.379317 0.736497
2026-01-18 0.042155 0.060282 0.088109 0.136499 0.224668 0.393373 0.788544
2026-01-25 0.040544 0.058417 0.086142 0.134992 0.225531 0.402676 0.831012
2026-02-01 0.038566 0.055890 0.082983 0.131208 0.221786 0.402145 0.849425
2026-02-08 0.036990 0.053937 0.080673 0.128784 0.220456 0.406504 0.880888
2026-02-15 0.035574 0.052185 0.078612 0.126678 0.219567 0.411679 0.915355
2026-02-22 0.034863 0.051536 0.078350 0.127798 0.225124 0.431447 0.992720